CCGL9065: Our Response to Climate Change: HK2100

Food Systems

Dr. Hongshan Guo and Class

Something You Took Away Last Week

Week 1 gave you a formula: Fact + Human Story + Stakes = Spectacle.

You learned that facts alone don’t change minds. Stories do.

  • A graph of AI energy use? Forgettable.
  • A grandmother who can’t afford electricity because of a data centre next door? Unforgettable.

That’s your first portable tool. It works everywhere — and you’ll see it again today.

From Debate → The Dinner Table

Last week: “Can humans out-persuade AI?”

This week: “What should you eat — and who decides?”

Same Spectacle Formula. New battlefield.

The food system is one of the most emotionally charged climate topics because it’s personal. Everyone eats. Everyone has opinions. And the data is… complicated.

Today’s conceptual tool: complexity. You’ll learn that there’s rarely one right answer — and that’s not a bug, it’s the point.

The Hook

Before We Begin…

In 2013, a scientist grew a hamburger in a lab.

It cost $330,000.

A food critic tasted it on live TV. He paused. Then he said something that changed the meat industry forever.

I’ll tell you what he said at the end of today’s class.

(That’s an open loop. You’ll learn why it works today.)

This Week’s Battlefield

Two Sides. Two Food Futures.

PRO-CLIMATE

= Transform the Food System

= “Meat is murder (of the planet)”

PRO-DEVELOPMENT

= Improve, Don’t Replace

= “Let people eat what they want”

The Core Tension

PRO-CLIMATE PRO-DEVELOPMENT
Reduce meat consumption Improve meat production
Plant-based is the future Choice and tradition matter
Systemic dietary change Individual freedom
Global emissions focus Local livelihoods focus
Health + planet aligned Economic stability priority

This tension defines every food policy debate.

Let’s Start With a Fact

An Inconvenient Truth on Hong Kong Food

Hong Kong imports 90% of its food.

If shipping stopped tomorrow, we’d have 2 weeks of reserves.

Every meal you eat traveled thousands of kilometers to reach your plate.

Now let’s talk about food systems.

Quick Pulse Check

Raise your hand if…

  • You ate meat in the last 24 hours
  • You could go a full month without meat
  • You’ve tried plant-based meat (Impossible, Beyond, OmniPork)
  • You’d eat lab-grown “real” meat if it was cheaper

Look around. Remember these numbers.

The Great Protein War

Three Contenders. One Plate.

🥩 Traditional Meat

Factory farms, feedlots, generations of culture

“Real food for real people”

🥬 Plant-Based

Impossible, Beyond, OmniPork, whole foods

“Save the planet, one bite at a time”

🧫 Lab-Grown

Cultured cells, bioreactors, sci-fi made real

“Real meat, no slaughter”

Which one wins? It’s not as obvious as you think.

Myth-Busting: Carbon Edition

“Vegetables Are Always Better”

Think again.

Food kg CO₂ per kg
Beef (industrial) 60
Lamb 24
Cheese 21
Asparagus (flown from Peru) 18
Chocolate 19
Local chicken 6
Tofu 2

Asparagus flown 10,000km beats local chicken in emissions.

“Eat your vegetables” isn’t always climate advice.

“Lab-Grown Meat Will Save Us”

The uncomfortable truth:

  • Lab-grown meat requires bioreactors running 24/7
  • Energy source matters: coal-powered lab meat could be worse than beef
  • Current estimates: 7-25 kg CO₂ per kg (vs. 60 for beef, 2 for tofu)
  • Scaling up is massively expensive — $300,000 for the first burger (2013)

The catch: Lab meat is only “green” if powered by renewable energy. Otherwise, you’re just trading cow farts for coal emissions.

“Plant-Based Meat Is Healthy & Green”

Not so fast:

  • Impossible Burger has more sodium than a Big Mac
  • Beyond Meat is ultra-processed — 20+ ingredients
  • Soy monocultures are destroying the Amazon too
  • Almond milk uses 6x more water than oat milk

The irony: The same people who won’t eat “processed food” are promoting Impossible Burgers as health food.

The Real Carbon Scoreboard

Food CO₂/kg Land Use Water Use Verdict
Industrial Beef 🔴 60 🔴 High 🔴 High Worst overall
Grass-fed Beef 🟡 25 🔴 Higher 🟡 Medium Better, but land-hungry
Lab-Grown Meat 🟡 7-25 🟢 Low 🟢 Low Depends on energy source
Plant-Based Meat 🟢 4-8 🟢 Low 🟡 Medium Good, but processed
Chicken 🟡 6 🟡 Medium 🟡 Medium Often overlooked
Tofu/Legumes 🟢 2 🟢 Low 🟢 Low Clear winner

Notice: There’s no single “right answer.” That’s the point.

Would You Rather?

The Dinner Table Dilemma

Scenario 1: Lab-grown char siu is now cheaper than real pork. It tastes identical. Your grandmother says she’d rather die than eat “fake meat” at Chinese New Year.

Do you serve it anyway?

Scenario 2: A study shows that if Hong Kong went fully vegetarian, we’d cut food emissions by 70%. But Sham Shui Po’s last dai pai dong — run by the same family for 60 years — would close.

Do you support the policy?

The Ethics Get Messy

PRO-CLIMATE says:

“Tradition isn’t an excuse to destroy the planet. Your grandmother’s nostalgia doesn’t outweigh your grandchildren’s future.”

PRO-DEVELOPMENT says:

“You want to save the climate by erasing culture? My grandmother survived the Cultural Revolution. Now you want to take her char siu too?”

Reading the Propaganda

Two Magazines. Two Realities.

What Do You Notice?

Look at the LEFT image (Pro-Climate):

  • What colors dominate? Why?
  • What’s the visual metaphor?
  • Who is the implied audience?
  • What emotion is it trying to trigger?

Look at the RIGHT image (Pro-Development):

  • How is food presented differently?
  • What values does the imagery appeal to?
  • What’s being defended?

Key question: Which cover would make YOUR grandmother pick up the magazine?

Now It’s Your Turn

Today’s Debate Motion

“Hong Kong should ban the import of factory-farmed meat by 2035.”

PRO-CLIMATE must argue for the ban.

PRO-DEVELOPMENT must argue against.

You have the facts. Now make them feel something.

Building Your Food Spectacle

The Formula (Reminder)

Fact + Human Story + Stakes = Spectacle

Weak

“Beef production causes emissions”

Better

“1kg beef = 60kg CO₂. 1kg tofu = 2kg.”

Spectacle

“Your steak emits more carbon than your car commute. You grill it on Sundays while lecturing kids to save the planet.”

PRO-CLIMATE: Make It Personal

Don’t say: “Livestock contributes to deforestation.”

Say: “Every burger in Hong Kong has a piece of the Amazon in it. You’re eating rainforest.”

Don’t say: “We should reduce meat consumption.”

Say: “Your grandparents ate meat once a week. Now you eat it twice a day. Guess which generation is destroying the planet?”

PRO-DEVELOPMENT: Paint the Picture

Don’t say: “Dietary choices are personal.”

Say: “My grandmother survived famine. Now they want to tell her she can’t have pork at Chinese New Year? That’s not climate action — that’s cultural erasure.”

Don’t say: “Traditional farming supports livelihoods.”

Say: “Kill the cattle industry and you kill 50,000 farmers in the New Territories. Who retrains them? You? The activists?”

Human Story: The Sai Kung Fisherman

Uncle Wong, 63, has fished Hong Kong waters for 40 years. His father did the same. So did his grandfather. His boat is worth less than a parking space in Tai Koo.

Climate activists say his catch is unsustainable. Supermarkets want him to sell farmed salmon instead.

PRO-CLIMATE says: “The fish stocks are collapsing. Wong is part of the problem. Every wild fish he catches accelerates extinction.”

PRO-DEVELOPMENT says: “Wong’s family survived the Japanese occupation, the ’67 riots, and SARS. Now some NGO wants to end his livelihood because of a chart? He can barely afford rent.”

The real question: Who decides what “sustainable” means — the scientist, the politician, or Uncle Wong?

Remember: Fact-Check Your Stories

✓ OK to Say

  • “Beef produces 60kg CO₂ per kg” (FAO data)
  • “HK imports 90% of food” (Census & Statistics)
  • “Lab meat uses 90% less land” (peer-reviewed)
  • “Char siu pork: 12kg CO₂/kg” (calculable)

✗ NOT OK

  • “Meat is murder” (moral claim, not fact)
  • “Lab meat is 100% safe” (too early to know)
  • “All farmers destroy the planet” (false generalization)
  • “Vegetarians live longer” (correlation ≠ causation)

Group Assignment Time!

Presentation Countdown

00:00

Before We Go: Housekeeping

Quick Logistics

Tutorial Assignments

  • Pick your time slots if you haven’t already
  • CIC-Badged: reflective writing starts T1/T2 (W2/W3)

Notion Portfolios

  • Submit URL only as published site
  • Due: End of day every Wednesday
  • Refer to announcement email for publishing guide

Closing the Loop

Remember the $330,000 Burger?

The food critic took a bite. Paused. Then said:

“It’s close to meat. It’s not that juicy. But the bite feels like a conventional hamburger.”

Not a triumph. Not a disaster. Just… close.

That was 2013. Today, lab-grown meat costs under $10/kg to produce.

Singapore already sells it in restaurants. The US approved it in 2023.

The question isn’t whether it will replace your char siu.

The question is whether your grandmother will eat it.

The Persuasion Playbook

Rhetorical Engineering 101

Throughout this course, you’ll learn 10 persuasion techniques — one per week.

Each technique is grounded in psychology and behavioral science. Each one is used by marketers, politicians, lawyers, and anyone who needs to move people.

By Week 11, you’ll have a complete rhetorical toolkit to engineer arguments that don’t just inform — they persuade.

The goal: Make your climate arguments impossible to ignore.

How This Works

Each week, at the end of class:

  1. The Hook — a grabby example that shows the technique in action
  2. The Science — the psychology behind why it works
  3. You Just Saw It — how it appeared in today’s debates
  4. Next Week’s Challenge — try it yourself

At the start of the following week: Quick callback — did anyone try it?

Let’s begin.

The Persuasion Playbook | Strategy #1

The Open Loop

In 1927, a psychologist noticed waiters could remember complex orders perfectly — until the bill was paid.

Then they forgot everything instantly.

The Science

This is the Zeigarnik Effect.

The brain can’t let go of incomplete tasks. It allocates background processing — like a browser tab you can’t close.

Netflix forces a 3-second hook before “Skip Intro” appears. Marketers call this an open loop: start a pattern, don’t close it.

The brain will stay to close the loop.

You Just Saw It

The best presentations today didn’t start with conclusions.

They started with a question. A tension. Something unresolved.

“There’s one fact that made me switch sides on this issue. I’ll get to it.”

Did you stay to hear it? That’s the loop.

Next Week’s Challenge

Open a loop in your first 10 seconds.

Don’t close it until the end.